PRESS RELEASES

10 JAN 2019

New Poll: Government Shutdown Hurting Senate Republicans Up for Reelection in 2020

Voters would also oppose President Trump declaring a “National Emergency” to fund wall

Washington, DC – New polling from Public Policy Polling (PPP), commissioned by MoveOn and the Immigration Hub, shows the government shutdown demanded by President Donald Trump and supported by Congressional Republicans is hurting Senate Republicans up for reelection in 2020. The polls, which were conducted in Arizona, Colorado, Iowa, Maine, Alaska, Georgia, and North Carolina, show that across the board, voters oppose Trump’s and the Republicans’ wall and want Congress to vote to re-open the government without any funding for the wall.

The polls also showed that sticking with President Trump on the shutdown makes voters less likely to vote for the GOP Senators in 2020.

Additionally, voters polled in Iowa, Maine, and North Carolina were also asked if they would oppose a plan to declare a national emergency to build the wall by diverting funds from other government agencies. Voters in the three states overwhelmingly opposed the plan.

Topline findings:

  • Majority of voters surveyed in the seven states do not agree with President Trump that the government should be kept closed until he gets funding for the wall.

  • Majority of voters in the seven states oppose President Trump’s demand that Congress spend billions in taxpayer dollars to build a wall along the southern border.

  • Majority of voters surveyed said they would be less likely to support their Republican Senator in the next elections because of their support of President Trump’s plan to keep the government closed for funding for a border wall.

  • Majority of voters surveyed in three states said they oppose any plan to declare a national emergency to build the wall.

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10 JAN 2019

New Poll: Senator Gardner Losing Colorado Independent Voters as Majority of Voters Oppose Wall and Blame Shutdown on Republicans

If Elections Were Held Today, Majority of Colorado Voters Would Opt for Senator Gardner’s Unnamed Democratic Opponent

Washington, DC – New polling from Public Policy Polling (PPP), commissioned by MoveOn and the Immigration Hub, shows that Colorado voters overwhelmingly oppose President Trump and congressional Republicans’ government shutdown and calls for the wall. In fact, the shutdown is hurting Senator Cory Gardner’s 2020 chances among critical Colorado voters.

With over 15,000 federal employees in Colorado are furloughed or working without pay, the majority of Colorado voters polled - including 62% of Independents - want Congress to vote to re-open the government without any funding for the wall. Other topline findings include

  • 54% of Colorado voters surveyed including 64% of Independents, blame Trump and Republicans in Congress the most for the government shutdown.

  • 58% of Coloradans, including 69% of Independent voters, disagree with President Trump that the government should be kept closed until he gets funding for the wall.

  • 56% of Colorado voters, including 66% of Independents, oppose President Trump’s demand that Congress spend billions in taxpayer dollars to build a wall along the southern border.

  • 61% of Independents - and almost of half of Colorado voters surveyed - are less likely to support Senator Gardner in his next election because of his support for President Trump’s plan to keep the government closed if he doesn’t get funding for a border wall.

  • In fact, if elections were held today, 47% of Colorado voters surveyed would vote for the Democratic opponent instead of Senator Gardner.

You can see the full polling memo here.

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13 NOV 2018

2018 Midterm Lessons: Pennsylvania and Colorado Surveys Show Voter Backlash to Trump’s Immigration Playbook

WASHINGTON, DC- President Trump made immigration the focal point of the midterms and made clear that he believes “it is going to be an election about the caravan.” From Lou Barletta and Scott Wagner in Pennsylvania, to Walker Stapleton in Colorado, and a whole host of House and legislative races, new findings show the majority of voters roundly rejected Trump’s playbook of anti-immigrant political stunts and rhetoric.

Trump’s immigration policies and language were largely echoed by Republican candidates. They ran almost 300,000 anti-immigrant ads, spending over one hundred million dollars. The electoral results demonstrate an increasingly growing American electorate choosing pro-immigrant candidates over those employing Trump’s immigration strategy.

Today, the Immigration Hub released two new polls, conducted by Global Strategy Group, of voters in the battleground states of Pennsylvania and Colorado. Similar to voters across the nation, the surveys found that a majority of Pennsylvania and Colorado voters were not galvanized or convinced by rhetoric on the caravan or sanctuary cities.

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13 NOV 2018

New Pennsylvania Poll and GOTV Efforts Show the Backlash to the GOP Immigration Playbook

View poll findings

A recording of the call is available here

PENNSYLVANIA - President Trump made immigration the focal point of the midterms and made clear that he believed “it is going to be an election about the caravan.” Today, the Immigration Hub released a new poll, conducted by Global Strategy Group, of Pennsylvania voters, revealing voter backlash against President Trump and Republican candidates’ immigration rhetoric and policies.

Similar to voters across the nation, the survey found that a majority of Pennsylvania voters were not galvanized or convinced by rhetoric on the caravan or sanctuary cities. In fact, Trump’s immigration playbook, echoed by Lou Barletta, Scott Wagner and John Chrin, failed to work in favor of the candidates. Senator Bob Casey, a pro-immigrant candidate, had an impressive showing, winning back Obama-Trump counties and exceeding past performances in the Pittsburgh market.

“New polling we conducted in the immediate aftermath of the election shows that Trump’s anti-immigrant focus backfired with voters in Pennsylvania,” stated Nick Gourevitch, Partner at Global Strategy Group. “Voters found that Republican candidate alignment with Trump on immigration was more of a reason to vote against those candidates than to vote for them, including with politically important groups like voters in Pennsylvania who voted for Trump in 2016 and shifted to Bob Casey in 2018.”

The Immigration Hub, along with the Service Employees International Union (SEIU), also commissioned an additional survey of nearly 2,000 registered Pennsylvania voters, polling their views on gubernatorial candidate Scott Wagner’s ad, “Caravan”. The results show that Wagner’s ad failed to mobilize the majority of Pennsylvania voters to support Wagner, and in some cases even backfired by increasing turnout intentions of one of the most coveted Pennsylvania voting bloc - female voters, both liberal-leaning and moderate women. In fact, 62% of moderate suburban female voters did not support Scott Wagner’s ad.

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13 NOV 2018

New Colorado Poll and GOTV Efforts Show the Backlash to the GOP Immigration Playbook

View the exit poll finding

A recording of the call is available here

COLORADO - President Trump made immigration the focal point of the midterms and made clear that he believed “it is going to be an election about the caravan.” Today, the Immigration Hub released a new poll, conducted by Global Strategy Group, of Colorado voters, revealing voter backlash against President Trump and Republican candidates’ immigration rhetoric and policies.

Similar to voters across the nation, the survey found that overwhelmingly the majority of Colorado voters were not galvanized or convinced by anti-immigrant rhetoric. In fact, Trump’s immigration playbook, echoed by Walker Stapleton and GOP state legislative candidates, failed to work in favor of Republicans. Jared Polis, a pro-immigrant candidate, had an impressive showing, exceeding Hillary Clinton's 2016 margins.

“New polling we conducted in the immediate aftermath of the election shows that Trump’s anti-immigrant focus backfired with voters in Colorado,” stated Nick Gourevitch, Partner at Global Strategy Group. “Voters found that Republican candidate alignment with Trump on immigration was more of a reason to vote against those candidates than to vote for them, including with politically important groups like Independents in Colorado.”

The Immigration Hub also commissioned Change Research to conduct an additional online survey of 525 likely voters in Colorado’s Sixth Congressional District. The survey found that majority of CD-6 voters rejected President Trump’s recent political ploys on immigration, including his anti-immigrant ad centered on the migrant caravan. In fact, 62 percent of women and 71 percent of Hispanics were less likely to support Trump’s immigration policies after watching his caravan ad. (View the rest of the results here.)

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